This article lays out the Quebec plan for the Liberals should an election come, including what ridings to target:
http://www.ledevoir.com/2009/09/02/265221.html
According to information obtained by Le Devoir, the Liberal Party has it's eye on eight well-defined constituencies: three in Montreal (Ahuntsic, Jeanne-Le Ber, Outremont), two in the Eastern Townships (Brome-Missisquoi, Compton -Stanstead), two in Outaouais (Gatineau, Pontiac) and Gaspé (Haute-Gaspésie-La Mitis-Matane-Matapédia).
A well-placed source who knows the strategy in Quebec said that if the wind is favorable and that the campaign is going well, other districts may be added: Abitibi-Témiscamingue Saint-Bruno-Saint-Hubert, Saint - Lambert and Shefford.
And this nomination-centric news:
Three three ridings have been set aside for star candidate, which will be announced just before the election; Ahuntsic, Jeanne-Le Ber and Outremont.
In other nomination news:
http://www.theobserver.ca/ArticleDisplay.aspx?e=1725945
The contested Sarnia-Lambton Liberal nomination between Tim Fugard and Anne Marie Gillis is to be settled "soon...within the month."
http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/article/689723
This article says that the Liberals have nomined 138 candidates, however Punditsguide.ca has us listed at 58, so I assume they are including incumbants. If they are, that might be a sign that no Liberal incumbant plans on retiring just yet.
http://icilevis.com/fr/index-lecture.aspx?sortcode=1.34.35&id_article=2037
Back in Quebec, the Liberals nominated Nicole Larouche, a local councilwoman, in the riding of Lotbinière – Chutes-de-la-Chaudière. The riding is held by Tory backbencher Jacques Gourde. The article also mentions that the Liberals want to run at least 25 women candidates in Quebec out of 75.
http://www.cfin-fm.com/Dans-Lotbiniere-Chutes-de-la-Chaudiere-0209095.html
Something interesting out of the same riding, as former Liberal MP Gaston Gourde, who represented the riding of Lévis (one of the precursor ridings) from 1981-1984, will run for the Bloc Quebecois nomination. The article also mentions Laforesterie Francis, a resident of St-Michel as the Liberal candidate for the next-door riding of Lévis – Bellechasse.
http://www.londontopic.ca/article.php?artid=15726
The NDP will have 2 London-area nomination meetings tomorrow, with London-Fanshawe incumbant Irene Mathyssen and 2008 Elgin-Middlesex-London candidate Ryan Dolby both being re-nominated for their respective ridings.
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Hi LS,
I've been told on several occasions by Liberal headquarters that incumbents must actually be renominated at a meeting, and indeed 5 of them have been already.
Meeting the membership and Victory fund criteria by the deadline entitled incumbents to run unopposed, but unless an election is called and they're all re-appointed, I'm told they must be formally renominated by a meeting of their riding association.
Pundits' Guide only records candidates who have been certified by whatever formal process each party has in place, and in fact I'm recording the type of nomination (acclamation, protected incumbent, contested nomination, appointment, or other) in my database as well, for future analysis, along with the nomination date.
Now parties will say that they've "identified" candidates in certain ridings already, even though they haven't been nominated. Sometimes this is because the individual's job doesn't allow them to go public right away, or for other strategic reasons. This is where they will come up with different numbers than what I have.
But because there is organizational work involved in getting a candidate through the entire process for that party, whatever it is, I'm recording the numbers who have been right through that process. It's the only way we can compare one party against the other properly.
Hope this clarifies things a bit.
Keep up the great legwork!
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