Showing posts with label elections. Show all posts
Showing posts with label elections. Show all posts
Thursday, August 21, 2014
New Brunswick Conservative's pull out of leaders debate - don't want to talk about the David Alward record?
Saturday, May 10, 2014
Is Andrea Horwath for real?
That's what the new Kathleen Wynne ad asks Ontarians after Horwath said NO to an increased child benefit, an Ontario Pension Plan, better transit, and a new job creation strategy for Ontario. I'm really digging the "I'm Kathleen Wynne and I stand behind this message" tag the Premier has been using.
I'm sure NDP'ers will complain about "going negative", to which I have to ask, isn't joining with Tim Hudak and Stephen Harper and saying NO to a strong plan for Ontario a tad more negative?
Thursday, April 10, 2014
Anita Vandenbeld on the "Fair" Elections Act
Anita Vandenbeld, past federal candidate in Ottawa West-Nepean and green lit candidate for the 2015 nomination has written a fantastic post for iPolitics about the "Fair" Elections Act and how regressive it truly is.
"The last time I worked in a country where a government used its majority in Parliament to ram through changes to an election law without public input was in the Democratic Republic of Congo in 2011. I never would have expected this in Canada."
"I can honestly say that in all my years of working on democratic development with the United Nations, OSCE, NDI and other international organizations on five continents, I have not found another electoral commission that was prohibited by law from speaking to the public about elections or doing public awareness campaigns to encourage people to vote."
This is one of the best commentaries on the Harper-Poilievre scheme to make it harder for you to vote, I encourage you to share it widely.
Monday, December 19, 2011
What does it take to be president? Alexandra Mendes knows
To me, an important part of the job of President of the Party is to know what the job is and isn't. It's an organizational role, one that requires communications and the ability to build bridges to get the job done. What it is not is a spokesperson position. The President must never become a bigger story than the party and the caucus. Alexandra Mendes understands the role and responsibilities of being LPC President, and brings a proven track record of experience and results. Here's what Alexandra has to say about the job of President:
"The race for president of the Liberal Party is generating a great deal of excitement and as a Liberal I am delighted to see the renewed interest and commitment to this party by its members. However, we must not get forget that when the dust settles on the race and a winner is declared, the real work will start. Debates among candidates will be forgotten and the nitty-gritty of the job will get done in many different places; often not on a stage and often out of the public eye. Simply put, the president is not the leader of the party. The president’s job is to help the members, the Caucus and the leader do their work.
One of the first tasks to be tackled is to sit down with the financial books of the Liberal Party. Managing the finances of our Party will be a crucial job for the president and the National Executive in the months to come.
What am I bringing to this aspect of the position? I became executive director of membership driven organization when it went into receivership and helped bring it to financial stability. From this I learned to balance books and be financially responsible with limited funds. This is often a diplomatic act of ensuring that the necessary funds are available for activities that sustain and grow an organization while cutting down on waste and unnecessary spending. Also, since the future of party financing demands that we finance our party from donations alone, we need to manage the money we now have and to engage Canadians to donate and support our party. This will require that we think outside the box to strengthen our finances. The membership has identified creative ways to increase funds and heighten the Liberal profile and as president I would work hard to facilitate these initiatives.
I believe that under the new financial reality, members must drive the financial bus; without the per-vote subsidies we need to change the way our Party does business. To provide a lasting financially responsible framework, I believe that we must have a mandatory quarterly review that assesses both input and output of funds and mandates that we justify our spending either on the basis of successful member outreach or successful fundraising. If an expenditure item does neither, then it should be eliminated in the interest of frugal fiscal management.
The other fundamental aspect of the job is to meet with Liberals, to hear their concerns and suggestions. For the president of the Liberal Party, these meetings require another set of talents: listening and knowing when and how to act. After my many experiences as a MP, a riding association president and an executive director of an NGO I have learned that there is a fundamental difference between listening to people and simply allowing people to talk. For me, listening is an active, purposeful activity where I try to understand and piece together what people are thinking and feeling; what they are asking for; how they offer to help; and even what they are critiquing us on.
For me, listening must always be followed by any appropriate action. There is no point listening passively and then moving on; it leaves people frustrated and also allows many helpful suggestions and golden opportunities to slip away. For example, a young man representing OpenMedia.ca approached me during the May 2011 campaign. He wanted to know why Liberal MP’s hadn’t signed on the online petition against user-based internet fees. I was surprised that we hadn’t, I made two phone calls to the appropriate critics and in less than 48 hours, Liberal MP’s had become the darlings of OpenMedia.ca. The young man who had come to me originally was so impressed at the results that he became a member of the Party, joined my campaign team and became our “go-to” person in all IT related matters.
The president must also be responsive to riding associations. As an active member of the Brossard – La Prairie riding association for over 10 years, as a riding association president that supported the election of the Hon. Jacques Saada twice and as an MP who won in the same riding, I have intimate knowledge of the challenges faced by riding associations. I believe that the president must work with riding associations one by one and with the Council of Presidents in a constructive way. A president’s job is not to dictate what should be done but rather to help associations to do their job because they know their communities best. A “one plan fits all” approach will not succeed; we must take into account the unique nature of each riding.
Again, the act of listening cannot be left to chance. We must do something that is required from every president and if elected I would institute a set of rules governing response times. Any written submission from a riding association must be responded to within 30 days and if the decision is required and still pending at 90 days, then there must be a further communication every 30 days until a decision is made.
Another crucial job for the president is to facilitate Liberal messaging. The president is not the spokesperson for the party; that is clearly and indubitably the leader’s job. The president and the National Executive do have however a crucial role to play as facilitators for messaging. As a MP that got swept up by the Orange Wave, I also know that we need to focus on the air war as well as the ground war. In my riding we set up the winning conditions for the 2011 election as we had numerous times before. However, the combination of the attack war against Michael Ignatieff and the Liberals, and the NDP’s successful messaging campaign in Quebec, all of our diligent work was thoroughly overridden.
If I am elected president, I will commit to helping with the air war. First and foremost, this will require that funding be available to define our leader before our opponents define him/her. Second, we will have to change the way we do the business of messaging. We need to communicate more effectively to reach the hearts as well as the minds of Canadians. We need to communicate effectively and in a timely manner with members about the positions the party has taken on issues.
We need to fundraise by showing why our Party deserves the support of Canadians by earning each dollar. We can do this by having clear, simple, straightforward conversations about what Liberals want to support and why. These messages need to not only go out to members; we need to use our free opportunities in the media to effectively, rationally and emotionally connect with Canadians.
This is my understanding of what it means to be president of the Liberal Party of Canada. How do you see it? I really would love to read your thoughts…"
"The race for president of the Liberal Party is generating a great deal of excitement and as a Liberal I am delighted to see the renewed interest and commitment to this party by its members. However, we must not get forget that when the dust settles on the race and a winner is declared, the real work will start. Debates among candidates will be forgotten and the nitty-gritty of the job will get done in many different places; often not on a stage and often out of the public eye. Simply put, the president is not the leader of the party. The president’s job is to help the members, the Caucus and the leader do their work.
One of the first tasks to be tackled is to sit down with the financial books of the Liberal Party. Managing the finances of our Party will be a crucial job for the president and the National Executive in the months to come.
What am I bringing to this aspect of the position? I became executive director of membership driven organization when it went into receivership and helped bring it to financial stability. From this I learned to balance books and be financially responsible with limited funds. This is often a diplomatic act of ensuring that the necessary funds are available for activities that sustain and grow an organization while cutting down on waste and unnecessary spending. Also, since the future of party financing demands that we finance our party from donations alone, we need to manage the money we now have and to engage Canadians to donate and support our party. This will require that we think outside the box to strengthen our finances. The membership has identified creative ways to increase funds and heighten the Liberal profile and as president I would work hard to facilitate these initiatives.
I believe that under the new financial reality, members must drive the financial bus; without the per-vote subsidies we need to change the way our Party does business. To provide a lasting financially responsible framework, I believe that we must have a mandatory quarterly review that assesses both input and output of funds and mandates that we justify our spending either on the basis of successful member outreach or successful fundraising. If an expenditure item does neither, then it should be eliminated in the interest of frugal fiscal management.
The other fundamental aspect of the job is to meet with Liberals, to hear their concerns and suggestions. For the president of the Liberal Party, these meetings require another set of talents: listening and knowing when and how to act. After my many experiences as a MP, a riding association president and an executive director of an NGO I have learned that there is a fundamental difference between listening to people and simply allowing people to talk. For me, listening is an active, purposeful activity where I try to understand and piece together what people are thinking and feeling; what they are asking for; how they offer to help; and even what they are critiquing us on.
For me, listening must always be followed by any appropriate action. There is no point listening passively and then moving on; it leaves people frustrated and also allows many helpful suggestions and golden opportunities to slip away. For example, a young man representing OpenMedia.ca approached me during the May 2011 campaign. He wanted to know why Liberal MP’s hadn’t signed on the online petition against user-based internet fees. I was surprised that we hadn’t, I made two phone calls to the appropriate critics and in less than 48 hours, Liberal MP’s had become the darlings of OpenMedia.ca. The young man who had come to me originally was so impressed at the results that he became a member of the Party, joined my campaign team and became our “go-to” person in all IT related matters.
The president must also be responsive to riding associations. As an active member of the Brossard – La Prairie riding association for over 10 years, as a riding association president that supported the election of the Hon. Jacques Saada twice and as an MP who won in the same riding, I have intimate knowledge of the challenges faced by riding associations. I believe that the president must work with riding associations one by one and with the Council of Presidents in a constructive way. A president’s job is not to dictate what should be done but rather to help associations to do their job because they know their communities best. A “one plan fits all” approach will not succeed; we must take into account the unique nature of each riding.
Again, the act of listening cannot be left to chance. We must do something that is required from every president and if elected I would institute a set of rules governing response times. Any written submission from a riding association must be responded to within 30 days and if the decision is required and still pending at 90 days, then there must be a further communication every 30 days until a decision is made.
Another crucial job for the president is to facilitate Liberal messaging. The president is not the spokesperson for the party; that is clearly and indubitably the leader’s job. The president and the National Executive do have however a crucial role to play as facilitators for messaging. As a MP that got swept up by the Orange Wave, I also know that we need to focus on the air war as well as the ground war. In my riding we set up the winning conditions for the 2011 election as we had numerous times before. However, the combination of the attack war against Michael Ignatieff and the Liberals, and the NDP’s successful messaging campaign in Quebec, all of our diligent work was thoroughly overridden.
If I am elected president, I will commit to helping with the air war. First and foremost, this will require that funding be available to define our leader before our opponents define him/her. Second, we will have to change the way we do the business of messaging. We need to communicate more effectively to reach the hearts as well as the minds of Canadians. We need to communicate effectively and in a timely manner with members about the positions the party has taken on issues.
We need to fundraise by showing why our Party deserves the support of Canadians by earning each dollar. We can do this by having clear, simple, straightforward conversations about what Liberals want to support and why. These messages need to not only go out to members; we need to use our free opportunities in the media to effectively, rationally and emotionally connect with Canadians.
This is my understanding of what it means to be president of the Liberal Party of Canada. How do you see it? I really would love to read your thoughts…"
Friday, December 16, 2011
Experience to get the job done - Alexandra Mendes' proven track record
In this time of Liberal rebuilding, the Party President must work for,
and be accountable to the membership. It is not enough to simply chair
meetings or to be a talking head on TV, a President must have the
passion and experience for organizational management required to take
on the heavy tasks of rebuilding our party.
Alexandra Mendes has that passion and experience.
Within the party, Alexandra has demonstrated her management experience
in the myriad of roles she has played - working her way up through the
party, going all the way from a local riding volunteer, to a riding
association President, to an MP assistant to proudly serving the
people of Brossard-La Prarie. Alexandra also has valuable experience
at management outside of politics, having served as Executive Director
of Maison Internationale de la Rive-Sud, an immigrant settlement
agency on the south shore of Montreal. When Alexandra took over the
agency, it was in trouble, having gone into financial receivership,
and not able to play its part in helping New Canadians thrive in our
great country. But with skill, dedication, and passion, Alexandra
helped right the ship and brought the agency back into financial
stability. Alexandra has a proven track record, not rhetoric, of
bringing hard work and dedication to organizational management, and
the Liberal Party of Canada needs someone both with a firm commitment
to improving management operations, and passion for the Liberal Party
and Liberal values.
Alexandra Mendes is the best candidate for the job of Liberal Party of
Canada President. Elect a President with passion, dedication, and a
proven track record to help our party renew.
and be accountable to the membership. It is not enough to simply chair
meetings or to be a talking head on TV, a President must have the
passion and experience for organizational management required to take
on the heavy tasks of rebuilding our party.
Alexandra Mendes has that passion and experience.
Within the party, Alexandra has demonstrated her management experience
in the myriad of roles she has played - working her way up through the
party, going all the way from a local riding volunteer, to a riding
association President, to an MP assistant to proudly serving the
people of Brossard-La Prarie. Alexandra also has valuable experience
at management outside of politics, having served as Executive Director
of Maison Internationale de la Rive-Sud, an immigrant settlement
agency on the south shore of Montreal. When Alexandra took over the
agency, it was in trouble, having gone into financial receivership,
and not able to play its part in helping New Canadians thrive in our
great country. But with skill, dedication, and passion, Alexandra
helped right the ship and brought the agency back into financial
stability. Alexandra has a proven track record, not rhetoric, of
bringing hard work and dedication to organizational management, and
the Liberal Party of Canada needs someone both with a firm commitment
to improving management operations, and passion for the Liberal Party
and Liberal values.
Alexandra Mendes is the best candidate for the job of Liberal Party of
Canada President. Elect a President with passion, dedication, and a
proven track record to help our party renew.
Tuesday, December 13, 2011
Fantastic cross Canada support for Alexandra Mendes!
Check out what great Liberals from across Canada are saying about Alexandra Mendes!
Support for Alexandra Mendes is growing in every province. Liberals are choosing Alexandra because of her proven ability to take a member-driven organization and turn it around to make it financially successful. Liberals are choosing Alexandra because her experience as a riding association president and as a Member of Parliament give her valuable insights into how the party works and what is needed to support a riding and win a riding. Liberals are choosing Alexandra because she is more interested in listening to the membership than talking at them. Liberals are choosing Alexandra because she will change the culture of the party by ensuring that the ownership of the party is in the hands of the members and that we put an end to infighting by standing united as a party. These are excerpts of what just a few of them have to say about Alexandra, click on their names to read the full endorsement:
Les appuis envers Alexandra Mendès arrivent de toutes les provinces. Les libéraux choisissent Alexandra en raison de sa capacité éprouvée à prendre une organisation dirigée par ses membres et de la rendre financièrement stable. Les libéraux choisissent Alexandra parce que son expérience en tant que présidente d'une association de circonscription et en tant que députée lui ont permis d'acquérir des connaissances essentielles sur les opérations du Parti et ce que cela prend pour soutenir et gagner une circonscription. Les libéraux choisissent Alexandra parce qu'elle accorde beaucoup plus d'importance à écouter les membres qu'à leur imposer ses opinions. Les libéraux choisissent Alexandra parce qu'ils sentent qu'elle saura changer la culture du Parti en s'assurant que les membres demeurent les principaux « actionnaires » de notre formation et qu'elle fera tout son possible pour mettre fin aux querelles intestines qui nous déchirent depuis des années. Voici des extraits de ce que quelques-uns d'entre eux ont à dire sur Alexandra, cliquez sur leur nom pour lire leur témoignage complet:
I am extremely pleased to support Alexandra Mendes as President of the Liberal Party. Alexandra has a clear grasp of the issues facing our Party and brings experience as a committed volunteer, a political activist, an engaged political professional and as a parliamentarian to this job. She will ensure every voice is heard as we rebuild the Liberal presence across the country. Alexandra understands the role of President in ensuring that good governance, effective and efficient administrative structures and solid financial support are developed well before the next election. She is running for the right position at the right time and has my full support.
— Rob Oliphant, OntarioThis is why we should burst with optimism and pride at the thought of Alexandra Mendes as President of the Liberal Party of Canada: ...
... Mendes insists on inclusion in our Party and in our country. She is a communicator and a consensus builder. Her commitment to a progressive and prosperous society, to justice and human rights, to women's issues, citizenship, immigration and multiculturalism are an invaluable asset to a Party needing to grow....
— Jade Boldt, Alberta... I like you, want the very best for our Party. We need a President who is a facilitator, someone who listens and then acts, someone with proven competency in restoring organizations in precarious health (financial and organizational), someone with high ethical standards and proven integrity and finally someone who 'gets' Canada's diversity on linguistic, ethnic, racial and religious origins. Well, the only candidate in my mind who meets all those criteria is Alexandra Mendes. ...
— Marlene Jennings, Québec... Tout comme vous, je veux le meilleur pour notre parti. Nous avons besoin d'un facilitateur, d'une personne à l'écoute qui sait aussi passer aux actes, quelqu'un qui a fait preuve de ses compétences, telles la réussite de la restructuration d'organismes en difficulté (financières et structurelles), une personne qui a fait preuve de ses valeurs sur le plan de l'éthique ainsi que de son intégrité. Et non moins essentiel, nous avons besoin d'une personne qui comprend la diversité, qui comprend le Canada dans toutes ses dimensions, tant au niveau linguistique qu'au niveau ethnique, racial et religieux. Or, à mon avis le (la) seul(e) candidat(e) qui atteint tous ces critères est Alexandra Mendes. ...
— Marlene Jennings, QuébecMeeting an unusual politician - intelligent, well informed, candid, courageous, friendly, charming... you have renewed our dreams and hopes for better Liberal times ahead. Thank you!!!
— Ivanka Ruseska, Alberta... Alexandra is committed to working with riding associations and rebuilding them, re-focusing the priorities of PTA's on local, riding level engagement. Re-empowering our riding associations is critical to rebuild the party, particularly in Quebec and The West. As a supporter of organizations like Equal Voice, I am pleased that the cause of gender equality within the party organization, and in candidate recruitment is an important issue for Alexandra, and one she will work towards as President.
Alexandra has a critical understanding of what the role of President is and isn't. We need an organizer, a manager, a facilitator, not someone who will be writing talking points and doing interviews, taking attention away from our leader and caucus.
With her approach to engagement and reform, Alexandra is the best choice for President ...
— William Norman, OntarioAlexandra believes, as I do, that the liberal party members ultimately are responsible for the decision-making process and their ideas and recommendations should be respected and valued, as well as implemented by their duly elected officers. Decisions have to come from the bottom-up not top-down and this has to be the modus operati of everything we do as a political party in order to grow and again earn the right to be a contender for the governance of our great country. She believes in a democratic, transparent and accountable executive which answers at every occasion to the party members who are the heart and soul of the our party, and by serving their interests she assures their continued support of and continued involvement in our party. ...
For these reasons and many more, I am confident that Alexandra is the President who, along with all of us, will rebuild a strong, dynamic and interactive party that will earn the right to once again govern our great country. ...
— Eleni Bakopanos, Quebec...Alexandra believes strongly in the importance of listening and she puts that belief into practice in her communications with members. And, because Alexandra has a knack for putting people at ease when she talks with them, conversations with her are genial, open and productive.
Alexandra's communications skills are also an asset in building teams and facilitating teamwork. Her commitment to teamwork will be a tremendous asset in rebuilding the Party across Canada. ...
— Joel Klebanoff, OntarioOui j'appuie Alexandra parce que je connais son humanité, je connais son authenticité et sa passion envers ce en quoi elle croit, j'ai expérimenté son intégrité, j'ai connu sa fidélité et sa loyauté à travers 2 décennies d'amitié vraie, je l'ai côtoyé à l'appui et à la défense des plus faibles, je l'ai vue à l'œuvre dans des situations faciles et surtout dans celles plus difficiles, je l'ai vue diriger avec une main de fer dans un gant de velours. ...
— Ninette Abi-Khalil, Québec
You can see more endorsements for Alexandra Mendes from great Liberals like Sen. Grant Mitchell, Sen. Joan Fraser, and MP John McCallum on the endorsements page:
http://www.alexamendes.ca/en/endorsements
Wednesday, December 7, 2011
Last day to sign an intent to stand as a delegate form for Biennial!
http://convention.liberal.ca/elections/notice-of-intent-form/
Want to help rebuild the party? Today is the last day to sign an intent to stand as a delegate form! Just click the above link, and fill out the simple form! Together we can make history!
And if you're undecided about who to support for exec board positions like President, take a look at some info on my choice for best candidate, Alexandra Mendes!
Please sign the form and check out some info on a great candidate!
Tuesday, December 6, 2011
Alexandra Mendes talks about winning together
http://www.alexamendes.ca/fr/blogue/1-the-will-to-change-united-vouloir-changer-dans-lunite
A great post from Alexandra Mendes about the need for a united party and how to move forward together. In our rebuilding process, one of the most important things we need to do is stand together as Liberals. Alexandra talks about running a positive campaign based on her experience in bring people together both inside and outside politics, and her vision for how the role of President should act as a positive force for unity in the party. It's a great piece, and I encourage you to check it out.
Thursday, December 1, 2011
Why I am supporting Alexandra Mendès for Liberal Party president
The Liberal Party faces a difficult, but not impossible task in rebuilding and reconnecting with Canadians. Electing a new President and exec board is and important step in this process. We as a party have a few options in deciding how we want to move forward. We could try putting out big names from our past who have a controversial history. We could try to win people over with flashy platitudes and talking points.
Or, we could support someone for President of the party who has experience in different levels of the party and Canadian life. Someone who is deeply in touch and experienced in reaching out to our multicultural population. Someone who has a wealth of experience in both the private sector and public life. Someone who has a clear and firm understanding of what the role of President means, values teamwork, has management experience, and has worked in the grassroots.
As a candidate, Alexandra Mendes has all of this and more.
Listening in on a number of debates and townhalls, I have always been impressed by the caliber and quality of the answers Alexandra has provided to the difficult challenges of how to best rebuild our party. Alexandra is committed to working with riding associations and rebuilding them, re-focusing the priorities of PTA's on local, riding level engagement. Re-empowering our riding associations is critical to rebuild the party, particularly in Quebec and The West. As a supporter of organizations like Equal Voice, I am pleased that the cause of gender equality within the party organization, and in candidate recruitment is an important issue for Alexandra, and one she will work towards as President.
Alexandra has a critical understanding of what the role of President is and isn't. We need an organizer, a manager, a facilitator, not someone who will be writing talking points and doing interviews, taking attention away from our leader and caucus.
With her approach to engagement and reform, Alexandra is the best choice for President, and I would encourage my fellow Liberals to read more about her campaign and get engaged:
Thursday, August 18, 2011
ONDP candidate mocks child abuse allegations in Catholic Church and posts dirty jokes on Twitter - Classy guy
http://www.torontosun.com/2011/08/17/facebook-101-loose-lips-hurts-election-campaign
Is this why Andrea Horwath is going to such extreme efforts to hide her "team"? Less than 3 weeks before the start of the writ, and the ONDP website still has zero mention of any ONDP candidate or MPP not named Andrea Horwath.
Is this why Andrea Horwath is going to such extreme efforts to hide her "team"? Less than 3 weeks before the start of the writ, and the ONDP website still has zero mention of any ONDP candidate or MPP not named Andrea Horwath.
Tuesday, March 22, 2011
Riding hashtags - now with edits!
So I made up hashtags for every riding. With Twitter being abuzz, I think this it would be good to get some standardization when talking about individual ridings. Here's my effort:
Newfoundland
Avalon - #ava
Bonavista—Gander—Grand Falls—Windsor - #bonggfw
Humber—St. Barbe—Baie Verte - #humstbbv
Labrador - #lab
Random—Burin—St. George's #ranburstg
St. John's East #stje
St. John's South—Mount Pearl #stjsmp
Nova Scotia
Cape Breton—Canso - #capebc
Central Nova - #cenn
Cumberland—Colchester—Musquodoboit Valley - #ccmv
Dartmouth—Cole Harbour - #dch
Halifax - #hal
Halifax West -#halw
Kings—Hants - #kingh
Sackville—Eastern Shore -#sackves
South Shore—St. Margaret's - #ssstm
Sydney—Victoria - #sydv
West Nova - #westn
New Brunswick
Acadie—Bathurst - #acbath
Beauséjour -#bejour
Fredericton - #fred
Fundy Royal - #fundyr
Madawaska—Restigouche - #madarest
Miramichi - #mira
Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe - #monrivdie
New Brunswick Southwest -#nbsw
Saint John - #saintj
Tobique—Mactaquac - #tobmac
PEI
Cardigan - #card
Charlottetown - #charl
Egmont - #egm
Malpeque - #mal
Quebec
Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou -#abbkne
Abitibi—Témiscamingue - #abtemi
Ahuntsic -#ahunt
Alfred-Pellan - #alpel
Argenteuil—Papineau—Mirabel -#arpami
Bas-Richelieu—Nicolet—Bécancour -#basrnb
Beauce - #beauce
Beauharnois—Salaberry - #beasal
Beauport—Limoilou - #bealim
Berthier—Maskinongé - #bermas
Bourassa - #bour
Brome—Missisquoi - #bromis
Brossard—La Prairie -#brolapr
Chambly—Borduas - #chambor
Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles - #charhstc
Châteauguay—Saint-Constant - #chatstc
Chicoutimi—Le Fjord - #chilefj
Compton—Stanstead - #comstan
Drummond - #drumm
Gaspésie—Îles-de-la-Madeleine - #gidlm
Gatineau - #gatin
Haute-Gaspésie—La Mitis—Matane—Matapédia - #hgmmm
Hochelaga - #hoch
Honoré-Mercier - #honmer
Hull—Aylmer - #hulayl
Jeanne-Le Ber - #jeleber
Joliette - #joli
Jonquière—Alma - #jonal
La Pointe-de-l'Île - #lapdi
Lac-Saint-Louis - #lacstl
LaSalle—Émard -#lasem
Laurentides—Labelle - #laurla
Laurier—Sainte-Marie - #laursm
Laval -#lav
Laval—Les Îles - #lavli
Lévis—Bellechasse -#levbel
Longueuil—Pierre-Boucher - #longpb
Lotbinière—Chutes-de-la-Chaudière - #lotcdlc
Louis-Hébert - #louheb
Louis-Saint-Laurent - #loustl
Manicouagan -#mancou
Marc-Aurèle-Fortin - #marcaf
Mégantic—L'Érable - #megler
Montcalm - #montc
Montmagny—L'Islet—Kamouraska—Rivière-du-Loup - #mlikr
Montmorency—Charlevoix—Haute-Côte-Nord - #monchcn
Mount Royal - #mountr
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Lachine - #ndgl
Outremont - #out
Papineau - #pap
Pierrefonds—Dollard - #pierd
Pontiac - #pont
Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier – #portjc
Québec - #que
Repentigny - #repent
Richmond—Arthabaska - #richarth
Rimouski-Neigette—Témiscouata—Les Basques - #rimtemlb
Rivière-des-Mille-Îles - #rivdmi
Rivière-du-Nord - #rivdn
Roberval—Lac-Saint-Jean - #roblstj
Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie - #roselpp
Saint-Bruno—Saint-Hubert - #stbsth
Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot - #sthb
Saint-Jean - #stjean
Saint-Lambert - #stlam
Saint-Laurent—Cartierville - #stlaucar
Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel - #stlstm
Saint-Maurice—Champlain - #stmcham
Shefford - #sheff
Sherbrooke - #sherb
Terrebonne—Blainville - #terbla
Trois-Rivières - #troriv
Vaudreuil-Soulanges - #vaudsoul
Verchères—Les Patriotes - #verlp
Westmount—Ville-Marie- #westvm
Ontario
Ajax—Pickering - #ajpick
Algoma—Manitoulin—Kapuskasing - #almankap
Ancaster—Dundas—Flamborough—Westdale - #ADFW
Barrie - #barr
Beaches—East York - #beaey
Bramalea—Gore—Malton - #bramgm
Brampton—Springdale - #bramsp
Brampton West - #bramw
Brant -#brant
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound - #bgos
Burlington - #burl
Cambridge #camb
Carleton—Mississippi Mills - #cmm
Chatham-Kent—Essex -#chatke
Davenport - #dav
Don Valley East - #dve
Don Valley West - #dvw
Dufferin—Caledon - #dufcal
Durham - #dur
Eglinton—Lawrence - #eglaw
Elgin—Middlesex—London - #elmidl
Essex - #esx
Etobicoke Centre - #etoc
Etobicoke—Lakeshore - #etol
Etobicoke North - #eton
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell - #gpr
Guelph - #gue
Haldimand—Norfolk - #halnor
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock - #hklb
Halton - #hal
Hamilton Centre - #hamc
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek - hamesc
Hamilton Mountain - #hamm
Huron—Bruce - #hurbru
Kenora - #ken
Kingston and the Islands - #kingi
Kitchener Centre - #kitchc
Kitchener—Conestoga - #kitchcon
Kitchener—Waterloo - #kitchw
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex - #lamkenmid
Lanark—Frontenac—Lennox and Addington - #lfla
Leeds—Grenville - #leedg
London—Fanshawe - #lonf
London North Centre - #lonnc
London West - #lonw
Markham—Unionville -#marku
Mississauga—Brampton South - #msbrams
Mississauga East—Cooksville -#msecook
Mississauga—Erindale -#mserin
Mississauga South -#mssou
Mississauga—Streetsville - #msstre
Nepean—Carleton -#nepcar
Newmarket—Aurora -#newaur
Niagara Falls -#niafal
Niagara West—Glanbrook - #niawglan
Nickel Belt -#nickbel
Nipissing—Timiskaming - #niptim
Northumberland—Quinte West - #nqw
Oak Ridges—Markham - #oakrimark
Oakville - #oakv
Oshawa -#osh
Ottawa Centre -#ottc
Ottawa—Orléans - #otto
Ottawa South - #otts
Ottawa—Vanier - #ottv
Ottawa West—Nepean - #ottwn
Oxford - #oxf
Parkdale—High Park - #parkhp
Parry Sound—Muskoka - #parsomusk
Perth—Wellington - #perwel
Peterborough - #petbro
Pickering—Scarborough East - #picscare
Prince Edward—Hastings - #prinehast
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke - #rennippem
Richmond Hill - #richhill
St. Catharines - #stcath
St. Paul's - #stpaul
Sarnia—Lambton - #sarlam
Sault Ste. Marie - #saulstm
Scarborough—Agincourt - #scarag
Scarborough Centre - #scarc
Scarborough—Guildwood - #scarguil
Scarborough—Rouge River -#scarrour
Scarborough Southwest - #scarsw
Simcoe—Grey - #simgrey
Simcoe North - #simn
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry - #sdsg
Sudbury - #sudb
Thornhill -#thorn
Thunder Bay—Rainy River - #thunbrr
Thunder Bay—Superior North - #thunbsn
Timmins—James Bay - #timjb
Toronto Centre - #torc
Toronto—Danforth - #tord
Trinity—Spadina - #trinspa
Vaughan -#vaug
Welland - #well
Wellington—Halton Hills - #wellhh
Whitby—Oshawa - #whosh
Willowdale - #willow
Windsor—Tecumseh - #wintec
Windsor West - #winw
York Centre -#yorkc
York—Simcoe -#yorksim
York South—Weston #yorksw
York West #yorkw
Manitoba
Brandon—Souris - #branso
Charleswood—St. James—Assiniboia - #charstjas
Churchill - #chur
Dauphin—Swan River—Marquette - #dausrm
Elmwood—Transcona - #elmtra
Kildonan—St. Paul -#kilstp
Portage—Lisgar - #portlis
Provencher - #prov
Saint Boniface -#stbon
Selkirk—Interlake - #selin
Winnipeg Centre -#wpegc
Winnipeg North - #wpegn
Winnipeg South - #wpegs
Winnipeg South Centre - #wpegsc
Saskatchewan
Battlefords—Lloydminster -#batlloyd
Blackstrap - #blkstr
Cypress Hills—Grasslands - #cyhilg
Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River - #dmcr
Palliser - #pall
Prince Albert -#princea
Regina—Lumsden—Lake Centre - #regllc
Regina—Qu'Appelle - #regqu
Saskatoon—Humboldt - #saskh
Saskatoon—Rosetown—Biggar -#saskrb
Saskatoon—Wanuskewin - #saskw
Souris—Moose Mountain - #soumm
Wascana - #wasc
Yorkton—Melville - #yorkmel
Alberta
Calgary Centre - #calc
Calgary Centre-North - #calcn
Calgary East -#cale
Calgary Northeast - #calne
Calgary—Nose Hill - #calnh
Calgary Southeast - #calse
Calgary Southwest - #calsw
Calgary West - #calw
Crowfoot -#cro
Edmonton Centre -#edmc
Edmonton East - #edme
Edmonton—Leduc - #edml
Edmonton—Mill Woods—Beaumont - #edmmwb
Edmonton—St. Albert - #edmsta
Edmonton—Sherwood Park - #edmsp
Edmonton—Spruce Grove - #edmsg
Edmonton—Strathcona - #edmstra
Fort McMurray—Athabasca - #ftmcath
Lethbridge - #leth
Macleod - #macl
Medicine Hat -#medih
Peace River -#peariv
Red Deer -#redd
Vegreville—Wainwright - #vegwain
Westlock—St. Paul - #weststp
Wetaskiwin - #weta
Wild Rose -#wldr
Yellowhead - #ylwh
BC
Abbotsford - #abb
British Columbia Southern Interior -#bcsi
Burnaby—Douglas -#burdoug
Burnaby—New Westminster - #burnw
Cariboo—Prince George -#carpg
Chilliwack—Fraser Canyon -#chilfc
Delta—Richmond East - #delre
Esquimalt—Juan de Fuca -#esqjdf
Fleetwood—Port Kells - #flepk
Kamloops—Thompson—Cariboo - #kamthocar
Kelowna—Lake Country - #kellc
Kootenay—Columbia - #koocol
Langley - #lang
Nanaimo—Alberni - #nanalb
Nanaimo—Cowichan - #nancow
Newton—North Delta - #newnd
New Westminster—Coquitlam - #nwcoq
North Vancouver -nvan
Okanagan—Coquihalla - #okaco
Okanagan—Shuswap - #okashu
Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge—Mission - #pmmpm
Port Moody—Westwood—Port Coquitlam - #pmwpc
Prince George—Peace River - #pgpr
Richmond - #rich
Saanich—Gulf Islands - #sgi
Skeena—Bulkley Valley - #skebv
South Surrey—White Rock—Cloverdale - #sswrc
Surrey North - #surn
Vancouver Centre -#vanc
Vancouver East - #vane
Vancouver Island North -#vanisln
Vancouver Kingsway -#vank
Vancouver Quadra -#vanq
Vancouver South - #vans
Victoria - #vic
West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country - #wvscskc
North
Yukon - #yuk
Western Arctic - #warc
Nunivut - #nun
Newfoundland
Avalon - #ava
Bonavista—Gander—Grand Falls—Windsor - #bonggfw
Humber—St. Barbe—Baie Verte - #humstbbv
Labrador - #lab
Random—Burin—St. George's #ranburstg
St. John's East #stje
St. John's South—Mount Pearl #stjsmp
Nova Scotia
Cape Breton—Canso - #capebc
Central Nova - #cenn
Cumberland—Colchester—Musquodoboit Valley - #ccmv
Dartmouth—Cole Harbour - #dch
Halifax - #hal
Halifax West -#halw
Kings—Hants - #kingh
Sackville—Eastern Shore -#sackves
South Shore—St. Margaret's - #ssstm
Sydney—Victoria - #sydv
West Nova - #westn
New Brunswick
Acadie—Bathurst - #acbath
Beauséjour -#bejour
Fredericton - #fred
Fundy Royal - #fundyr
Madawaska—Restigouche - #madarest
Miramichi - #mira
Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe - #monrivdie
New Brunswick Southwest -#nbsw
Saint John - #saintj
Tobique—Mactaquac - #tobmac
PEI
Cardigan - #card
Charlottetown - #charl
Egmont - #egm
Malpeque - #mal
Quebec
Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou -#abbkne
Abitibi—Témiscamingue - #abtemi
Ahuntsic -#ahunt
Alfred-Pellan - #alpel
Argenteuil—Papineau—Mirabel -#arpami
Bas-Richelieu—Nicolet—Bécancour -#basrnb
Beauce - #beauce
Beauharnois—Salaberry - #beasal
Beauport—Limoilou - #bealim
Berthier—Maskinongé - #bermas
Bourassa - #bour
Brome—Missisquoi - #bromis
Brossard—La Prairie -#brolapr
Chambly—Borduas - #chambor
Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles - #charhstc
Châteauguay—Saint-Constant - #chatstc
Chicoutimi—Le Fjord - #chilefj
Compton—Stanstead - #comstan
Drummond - #drumm
Gaspésie—Îles-de-la-Madeleine - #gidlm
Gatineau - #gatin
Haute-Gaspésie—La Mitis—Matane—Matapédia - #hgmmm
Hochelaga - #hoch
Honoré-Mercier - #honmer
Hull—Aylmer - #hulayl
Jeanne-Le Ber - #jeleber
Joliette - #joli
Jonquière—Alma - #jonal
La Pointe-de-l'Île - #lapdi
Lac-Saint-Louis - #lacstl
LaSalle—Émard -#lasem
Laurentides—Labelle - #laurla
Laurier—Sainte-Marie - #laursm
Laval -#lav
Laval—Les Îles - #lavli
Lévis—Bellechasse -#levbel
Longueuil—Pierre-Boucher - #longpb
Lotbinière—Chutes-de-la-Chaudière - #lotcdlc
Louis-Hébert - #louheb
Louis-Saint-Laurent - #loustl
Manicouagan -#mancou
Marc-Aurèle-Fortin - #marcaf
Mégantic—L'Érable - #megler
Montcalm - #montc
Montmagny—L'Islet—Kamouraska—Rivière-du-Loup - #mlikr
Montmorency—Charlevoix—Haute-Côte-Nord - #monchcn
Mount Royal - #mountr
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Lachine - #ndgl
Outremont - #out
Papineau - #pap
Pierrefonds—Dollard - #pierd
Pontiac - #pont
Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier – #portjc
Québec - #que
Repentigny - #repent
Richmond—Arthabaska - #richarth
Rimouski-Neigette—Témiscouata—Les Basques - #rimtemlb
Rivière-des-Mille-Îles - #rivdmi
Rivière-du-Nord - #rivdn
Roberval—Lac-Saint-Jean - #roblstj
Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie - #roselpp
Saint-Bruno—Saint-Hubert - #stbsth
Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot - #sthb
Saint-Jean - #stjean
Saint-Lambert - #stlam
Saint-Laurent—Cartierville - #stlaucar
Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel - #stlstm
Saint-Maurice—Champlain - #stmcham
Shefford - #sheff
Sherbrooke - #sherb
Terrebonne—Blainville - #terbla
Trois-Rivières - #troriv
Vaudreuil-Soulanges - #vaudsoul
Verchères—Les Patriotes - #verlp
Westmount—Ville-Marie- #westvm
Ontario
Ajax—Pickering - #ajpick
Algoma—Manitoulin—Kapuskasing - #almankap
Ancaster—Dundas—Flamborough—Westdale - #ADFW
Barrie - #barr
Beaches—East York - #beaey
Bramalea—Gore—Malton - #bramgm
Brampton—Springdale - #bramsp
Brampton West - #bramw
Brant -#brant
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound - #bgos
Burlington - #burl
Cambridge #camb
Carleton—Mississippi Mills - #cmm
Chatham-Kent—Essex -#chatke
Davenport - #dav
Don Valley East - #dve
Don Valley West - #dvw
Dufferin—Caledon - #dufcal
Durham - #dur
Eglinton—Lawrence - #eglaw
Elgin—Middlesex—London - #elmidl
Essex - #esx
Etobicoke Centre - #etoc
Etobicoke—Lakeshore - #etol
Etobicoke North - #eton
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell - #gpr
Guelph - #gue
Haldimand—Norfolk - #halnor
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock - #hklb
Halton - #hal
Hamilton Centre - #hamc
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek - hamesc
Hamilton Mountain - #hamm
Huron—Bruce - #hurbru
Kenora - #ken
Kingston and the Islands - #kingi
Kitchener Centre - #kitchc
Kitchener—Conestoga - #kitchcon
Kitchener—Waterloo - #kitchw
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex - #lamkenmid
Lanark—Frontenac—Lennox and Addington - #lfla
Leeds—Grenville - #leedg
London—Fanshawe - #lonf
London North Centre - #lonnc
London West - #lonw
Markham—Unionville -#marku
Mississauga—Brampton South - #msbrams
Mississauga East—Cooksville -#msecook
Mississauga—Erindale -#mserin
Mississauga South -#mssou
Mississauga—Streetsville - #msstre
Nepean—Carleton -#nepcar
Newmarket—Aurora -#newaur
Niagara Falls -#niafal
Niagara West—Glanbrook - #niawglan
Nickel Belt -#nickbel
Nipissing—Timiskaming - #niptim
Northumberland—Quinte West - #nqw
Oak Ridges—Markham - #oakrimark
Oakville - #oakv
Oshawa -#osh
Ottawa Centre -#ottc
Ottawa—Orléans - #otto
Ottawa South - #otts
Ottawa—Vanier - #ottv
Ottawa West—Nepean - #ottwn
Oxford - #oxf
Parkdale—High Park - #parkhp
Parry Sound—Muskoka - #parsomusk
Perth—Wellington - #perwel
Peterborough - #petbro
Pickering—Scarborough East - #picscare
Prince Edward—Hastings - #prinehast
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke - #rennippem
Richmond Hill - #richhill
St. Catharines - #stcath
St. Paul's - #stpaul
Sarnia—Lambton - #sarlam
Sault Ste. Marie - #saulstm
Scarborough—Agincourt - #scarag
Scarborough Centre - #scarc
Scarborough—Guildwood - #scarguil
Scarborough—Rouge River -#scarrour
Scarborough Southwest - #scarsw
Simcoe—Grey - #simgrey
Simcoe North - #simn
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry - #sdsg
Sudbury - #sudb
Thornhill -#thorn
Thunder Bay—Rainy River - #thunbrr
Thunder Bay—Superior North - #thunbsn
Timmins—James Bay - #timjb
Toronto Centre - #torc
Toronto—Danforth - #tord
Trinity—Spadina - #trinspa
Vaughan -#vaug
Welland - #well
Wellington—Halton Hills - #wellhh
Whitby—Oshawa - #whosh
Willowdale - #willow
Windsor—Tecumseh - #wintec
Windsor West - #winw
York Centre -#yorkc
York—Simcoe -#yorksim
York South—Weston #yorksw
York West #yorkw
Manitoba
Brandon—Souris - #branso
Charleswood—St. James—Assiniboia - #charstjas
Churchill - #chur
Dauphin—Swan River—Marquette - #dausrm
Elmwood—Transcona - #elmtra
Kildonan—St. Paul -#kilstp
Portage—Lisgar - #portlis
Provencher - #prov
Saint Boniface -#stbon
Selkirk—Interlake - #selin
Winnipeg Centre -#wpegc
Winnipeg North - #wpegn
Winnipeg South - #wpegs
Winnipeg South Centre - #wpegsc
Saskatchewan
Battlefords—Lloydminster -#batlloyd
Blackstrap - #blkstr
Cypress Hills—Grasslands - #cyhilg
Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River - #dmcr
Palliser - #pall
Prince Albert -#princea
Regina—Lumsden—Lake Centre - #regllc
Regina—Qu'Appelle - #regqu
Saskatoon—Humboldt - #saskh
Saskatoon—Rosetown—Biggar -#saskrb
Saskatoon—Wanuskewin - #saskw
Souris—Moose Mountain - #soumm
Wascana - #wasc
Yorkton—Melville - #yorkmel
Alberta
Calgary Centre - #calc
Calgary Centre-North - #calcn
Calgary East -#cale
Calgary Northeast - #calne
Calgary—Nose Hill - #calnh
Calgary Southeast - #calse
Calgary Southwest - #calsw
Calgary West - #calw
Crowfoot -#cro
Edmonton Centre -#edmc
Edmonton East - #edme
Edmonton—Leduc - #edml
Edmonton—Mill Woods—Beaumont - #edmmwb
Edmonton—St. Albert - #edmsta
Edmonton—Sherwood Park - #edmsp
Edmonton—Spruce Grove - #edmsg
Edmonton—Strathcona - #edmstra
Fort McMurray—Athabasca - #ftmcath
Lethbridge - #leth
Macleod - #macl
Medicine Hat -#medih
Peace River -#peariv
Red Deer -#redd
Vegreville—Wainwright - #vegwain
Westlock—St. Paul - #weststp
Wetaskiwin - #weta
Wild Rose -#wldr
Yellowhead - #ylwh
BC
Abbotsford - #abb
British Columbia Southern Interior -#bcsi
Burnaby—Douglas -#burdoug
Burnaby—New Westminster - #burnw
Cariboo—Prince George -#carpg
Chilliwack—Fraser Canyon -#chilfc
Delta—Richmond East - #delre
Esquimalt—Juan de Fuca -#esqjdf
Fleetwood—Port Kells - #flepk
Kamloops—Thompson—Cariboo - #kamthocar
Kelowna—Lake Country - #kellc
Kootenay—Columbia - #koocol
Langley - #lang
Nanaimo—Alberni - #nanalb
Nanaimo—Cowichan - #nancow
Newton—North Delta - #newnd
New Westminster—Coquitlam - #nwcoq
North Vancouver -nvan
Okanagan—Coquihalla - #okaco
Okanagan—Shuswap - #okashu
Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge—Mission - #pmmpm
Port Moody—Westwood—Port Coquitlam - #pmwpc
Prince George—Peace River - #pgpr
Richmond - #rich
Saanich—Gulf Islands - #sgi
Skeena—Bulkley Valley - #skebv
South Surrey—White Rock—Cloverdale - #sswrc
Surrey North - #surn
Vancouver Centre -#vanc
Vancouver East - #vane
Vancouver Island North -#vanisln
Vancouver Kingsway -#vank
Vancouver Quadra -#vanq
Vancouver South - #vans
Victoria - #vic
West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country - #wvscskc
North
Yukon - #yuk
Western Arctic - #warc
Nunivut - #nun
Monday, March 22, 2010
Ontario federal/provincial vote switching: A recent history
Much has been out out of the tendency of Ontario voters to do a switch when it comes time to vote either federally or provincially. That is, they tend as a whole to elect the same party into government provincially as federally. I decided to take a closer look at election results from the late 60's to now, only looking at federal results from Ontario. Some interesting thoughts looking at the graph:
-Twice the Tories have lost the popular vote but ended up with the most seats in the province, the 1985 provincial election and the 1988 federal election.
-For all the talk about the disunited right and vote splitting being a factor in Chretien's victories in the 90's, an overlooked factor is that the Chretien Liberals won a hell of a lot of votes, twice breaking the 50% mark (in 1993 and 2000)
-At the time, many pundits speculated if the provincial Liberals bringing out a budget during the 2004 campaign was a drag on the federal campaign, a closer look at this graph would seem to indicate that in the end, it wasn't a huge factor, Paul Martin got almost the same percentage of the vote as McGuinty had won a year earlier in what was deemed a "landslide", and indeed, while the overall Liberal numbers did dip from 52%, Martin hung on to a bigger number of seats than McGuinty won the previous year.
-Looking at the margins of victory for other governments, seeing the the NDP won a sizable majority with only 37% of the vote speaks to the kinks in the FPTP system, the PC's provincially were unable to climb back into majority status despite winning 40% in 1977.
-It would seem that a very decent chunk of voters do seem to regularly swing between voting for one party provincially and another federally, as the large majorities both Mike Harris and Jean Chretien won in the province would indicate, as well as the massive swings against the incumbents (and the party opposite which held power) that might have played a role in propelling Peterson, Chretien, and Harris into power.
-Last federal election was the first time in nearly two decades that the Liberals didn't win a majority of the seats in the province.
Sunday, January 17, 2010
On women Liberal nomination candidates
These pieces http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/opinions/editorials/the-hurdle-to-leap-in-the-next-election/article1426310/ and http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/where-are-the-female-politicians/article1426910/ talk about some reasons why women are underrepresented in Canada when it comes to elected office. One of the reasons debated is the nomination process, that women have a harder time actually winning a nomination in the first place, let alone winnng a riding. With that in mind, I examined the track record of female candidate in Liberal nomination contests during this cycle. I only examined ridings in which an actual vote took place, no uncontested wins/appointments. Some notes on scoring. In a riding in which one or more female candidates lost to a male, that was deemed a loss. If a nomination was exclusively female, it is scored a tie. If a woman won the nomination over a mixed-gender field, such as in Glengarry-Prescott-Russell, it was scored as a win, and of course, a woman defeating one or more men counts as a win.
From coast to coast.
Cumberland – Colchester – Musquodoboit Valley: Tracey Parsons loses to Jim Burrows (loss)
Mirimachi: Véronique Arsenault and Robert D. Hutchison lose to Keith Vickers
(loss)
Fredericton: Pamela Campbell beats Wendy Robbins
(tie)
Laval: Eva Nassif defeats Alia Haddad and Jean Roussel
(win)
Pontiac: Cindy-Duncan McMillan defeats Greg Fergus and Georges Lafontaine
(win)
Ottawa Centre: Scott Bradley defeats Janet Yale
(loss)
Ottawa-Orleans: Judith Cane and Rainer Bloess lose to David Bertschi
(loss)
Glengarry--Prescott--Russell: Julie Bourgeois beats Ken Hill, Gilles Roch Greffe, and Maryanne Kampouris
(win)
Leeds-Grenville: Marjory Loveys beats Margaret Heather Rothgeb
(tie)
Northumberland--Quinte West: Kim Rudd beats Andrew G. McFadyen and Christine A. Herrington
(win)
Oakville: Max Khan over Connie Laurin-Bowie, Mary Chapin, Stuart Howe, Darla Campbell
(loss)
Sarnia-Lambton: Timothy Fugard beats Anne Gillis
(loss)
Huron-Bruce: Charlie Bagnato over Maarten Bokhout and Deb Homuth.
(loss)
Sudbury: Carol Hartman beats Réjean Grenier, Gary A. Holman, and Janet Gasparini
(win)
Calgary West: Jennifer Pollack over Ernie Corbett
(win)
Saainch-Gulf Islands: Renée Hetherington over Christopher Spence
(win)
All counted, that gives female nomination candidates thus far a record of 7-7-2, but we can break it down a bit more. The regionals are 0-2-1 in Atlantic Canada, 2-0 in Quebec, 3-6-1 in Ontario, and 2-0 in Western Canada. Something I would really to do is compare rural/suburban/urban ridings, but since a number of these ridings (such as Saainch-Gulf Islands, Ottawa-Orleans, and Sarnia-Lambton blur the lines, it's difficult.
I think this is the most telling stat. Of the above ridings which could be considered "winnable" (Liberal candidate came within 15% of winning in 2008, meaning that Liberal nomination voters had a decent chance of electing a candidate who would make it to the House), Saanich-Gulf Islands, Pontiac, Sudbury, Huron-Bruce, Oakville, Glengarry – Prescott – Russell, Ottawa Centre, Ottawa-Orleans, Laval, Fredericton, Miramichi, the record of female candidates is 5-5-1, meaning in the ridings that could potentially send new Liberal MP's to the House, Liberal nomination voters do not have seemed to have had a problem giving female candidates a fighting chance, with a solid .500 record (this number is particularly good considering the goal for next election should be a House with at least 30% female candidates.
As of right now, according to Pundits' Guide, the Liberals and NDP are tied for the lead in terms of female candidates, with 35.2% of both parties nominated candidates being female. However, the NDP lags far behind when it comes to actually getting women in electable seats. As shown above, the Liberals have had 5 female candidates outright win nominations in winnable seats, and thats not even including the various appointed/acclaimed candidates in other winnable ridings for the Liberals. In the NDP's most winnable ridings in which they have nominated a candidate (11 by my count), only 3 of them will feature a female candidate.
The numbers don't lie: The Liberals are playing a much bigger role than the NDP in advancing the cause of increasing the number of women in Parliament.
From coast to coast.
Cumberland – Colchester – Musquodoboit Valley: Tracey Parsons loses to Jim Burrows (loss)
Mirimachi: Véronique Arsenault and Robert D. Hutchison lose to Keith Vickers
(loss)
Fredericton: Pamela Campbell beats Wendy Robbins
(tie)
Laval: Eva Nassif defeats Alia Haddad and Jean Roussel
(win)
Pontiac: Cindy-Duncan McMillan defeats Greg Fergus and Georges Lafontaine
(win)
Ottawa Centre: Scott Bradley defeats Janet Yale
(loss)
Ottawa-Orleans: Judith Cane and Rainer Bloess lose to David Bertschi
(loss)
Glengarry--Prescott--Russell: Julie Bourgeois beats Ken Hill, Gilles Roch Greffe, and Maryanne Kampouris
(win)
Leeds-Grenville: Marjory Loveys beats Margaret Heather Rothgeb
(tie)
Northumberland--Quinte West: Kim Rudd beats Andrew G. McFadyen and Christine A. Herrington
(win)
Oakville: Max Khan over Connie Laurin-Bowie, Mary Chapin, Stuart Howe, Darla Campbell
(loss)
Sarnia-Lambton: Timothy Fugard beats Anne Gillis
(loss)
Huron-Bruce: Charlie Bagnato over Maarten Bokhout and Deb Homuth.
(loss)
Sudbury: Carol Hartman beats Réjean Grenier, Gary A. Holman, and Janet Gasparini
(win)
Calgary West: Jennifer Pollack over Ernie Corbett
(win)
Saainch-Gulf Islands: Renée Hetherington over Christopher Spence
(win)
All counted, that gives female nomination candidates thus far a record of 7-7-2, but we can break it down a bit more. The regionals are 0-2-1 in Atlantic Canada, 2-0 in Quebec, 3-6-1 in Ontario, and 2-0 in Western Canada. Something I would really to do is compare rural/suburban/urban ridings, but since a number of these ridings (such as Saainch-Gulf Islands, Ottawa-Orleans, and Sarnia-Lambton blur the lines, it's difficult.
I think this is the most telling stat. Of the above ridings which could be considered "winnable" (Liberal candidate came within 15% of winning in 2008, meaning that Liberal nomination voters had a decent chance of electing a candidate who would make it to the House), Saanich-Gulf Islands, Pontiac, Sudbury, Huron-Bruce, Oakville, Glengarry – Prescott – Russell, Ottawa Centre, Ottawa-Orleans, Laval, Fredericton, Miramichi, the record of female candidates is 5-5-1, meaning in the ridings that could potentially send new Liberal MP's to the House, Liberal nomination voters do not have seemed to have had a problem giving female candidates a fighting chance, with a solid .500 record (this number is particularly good considering the goal for next election should be a House with at least 30% female candidates.
As of right now, according to Pundits' Guide, the Liberals and NDP are tied for the lead in terms of female candidates, with 35.2% of both parties nominated candidates being female. However, the NDP lags far behind when it comes to actually getting women in electable seats. As shown above, the Liberals have had 5 female candidates outright win nominations in winnable seats, and thats not even including the various appointed/acclaimed candidates in other winnable ridings for the Liberals. In the NDP's most winnable ridings in which they have nominated a candidate (11 by my count), only 3 of them will feature a female candidate.
The numbers don't lie: The Liberals are playing a much bigger role than the NDP in advancing the cause of increasing the number of women in Parliament.
Thursday, September 3, 2009
Those troublesome "experts" derail another Tory talking point
http://nbbusinessjournal.canadaeast.com/transcript/article/780367
The big Tory talking point right now is that an election would damage stimulus spending, wreck the economy, etc.
Inconvenient then, that the actually people who know what they are talking about shoot this talking point down.
Conservative warnings that an election could derail the recovery are being met with hoots of derision from the opposition and mostly skepticism from the experts who should know - economists..."The Canadian economy is the sum of a heck of a lot of decisions, by investors, by businesses, by consumers across Canada, in the U.S. and abroad, so how well the economy is going to do probably depends a lot more (on other factors) than what's going on in the electoral scene in Canada," said Finn Poschmann, an economist with the C.D. Howe Institute think tank.
The warnings may make for good politics, but they are in general bad economics, the economists say. At best, they may impact the economy in theory and on the margins, they add...However, the effect on Ottawa's $12-billion infrastructure stimulus designed to fight the recession would be minimal, if at all, he (TD Bank economist Don Drummond) added.
"This would affect only a certain type of infrastructure spending that was coming up for approval, but a lot of it would have already been approved, as the (government) said in their last report," he pointed out.
Of course, experts have also demolished Tory positions on climate change, crime, government accountability, isotopes, and others with little to no effect, so look to see plenty more of this talking point.
The big Tory talking point right now is that an election would damage stimulus spending, wreck the economy, etc.
Inconvenient then, that the actually people who know what they are talking about shoot this talking point down.
Conservative warnings that an election could derail the recovery are being met with hoots of derision from the opposition and mostly skepticism from the experts who should know - economists..."The Canadian economy is the sum of a heck of a lot of decisions, by investors, by businesses, by consumers across Canada, in the U.S. and abroad, so how well the economy is going to do probably depends a lot more (on other factors) than what's going on in the electoral scene in Canada," said Finn Poschmann, an economist with the C.D. Howe Institute think tank.
The warnings may make for good politics, but they are in general bad economics, the economists say. At best, they may impact the economy in theory and on the margins, they add...However, the effect on Ottawa's $12-billion infrastructure stimulus designed to fight the recession would be minimal, if at all, he (TD Bank economist Don Drummond) added.
"This would affect only a certain type of infrastructure spending that was coming up for approval, but a lot of it would have already been approved, as the (government) said in their last report," he pointed out.
Of course, experts have also demolished Tory positions on climate change, crime, government accountability, isotopes, and others with little to no effect, so look to see plenty more of this talking point.
Monday, June 1, 2009
Anatomy of a Liberal defeat
Very interesting look at a talk given at the Carleton for the Canadian Political Science association. I can't disagree with any of the findings, and I think they should be a lesson for us moving forward under Ignatieff in the next election.
http://www.punditsguide.ca/2009/05/first-data-from-2008-canadian-election.php#links
http://www.punditsguide.ca/2009/05/first-data-from-2008-canadian-election.php#links
Nova Scotia headed for NDP majority?
The previous polls out of Nova Scotia had shown a narrow NDP lead, with the Liberals in second and the governing Conservatives headed for third place, and this poll: http://www.cbc.ca/canada/nsvotes2009/story/2009/05/31/ns-poll-ndp.html gives the NDP a huge lead over both the Liberals and the PC's, although the Liberals maintain second place. If the trend holds, it would be the first time since the start of the decade long rule of the PC's that a ruling party would be pushed to third place, after the John Hamm PC's knocked the Liberals out of government in 1999. As much as I can tell, that election was also the last time a governing party in Canada was pushed down to third place (if anyone can correct me go ahead).
The momentum clearly seems to be going the NDP's way, with the poll pegging them at 44%. Even with some of that number being inflated by racking up majorities in downtown Halifax, it would be very difficult for the NDP not to get a majority with such a vote. Liberal leader Stephen McNeil says the Liberals have some internal numbers that suggest a more competitive race, and this poll does not confirm one potential bright spot for the Liberals: Unless a massive PC recovery takes place during the last week, this election is no longer being fought on the PC record, but on the potential for an NDP government, and with the PC's bleeding support (indeed, every poll taken near/during the election has shown them getting gradually lower and lower)everywhere, the Liberals are the clear alternative to the NDP, and if the NDP loses any support, it will probably go to the Liberals. Stephen McNeil looks to at the very least, make solid gains off the 2006 result, and should have a solid and larger Liberal caucus behind him.
The momentum clearly seems to be going the NDP's way, with the poll pegging them at 44%. Even with some of that number being inflated by racking up majorities in downtown Halifax, it would be very difficult for the NDP not to get a majority with such a vote. Liberal leader Stephen McNeil says the Liberals have some internal numbers that suggest a more competitive race, and this poll does not confirm one potential bright spot for the Liberals: Unless a massive PC recovery takes place during the last week, this election is no longer being fought on the PC record, but on the potential for an NDP government, and with the PC's bleeding support (indeed, every poll taken near/during the election has shown them getting gradually lower and lower)everywhere, the Liberals are the clear alternative to the NDP, and if the NDP loses any support, it will probably go to the Liberals. Stephen McNeil looks to at the very least, make solid gains off the 2006 result, and should have a solid and larger Liberal caucus behind him.
Thursday, May 21, 2009
Tories show true colours on Youth
Check out my entry into the YLC positive politics contest: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MevlKbbGzdM
___________________________________________________-
With the NS Tories running third, I can understand why Conservative Premier Rodney MacDonald would want to try and rally the base, but this move reeks of being an electoral "Hail Mary". For the Tories, however, this bound to be intercepted pass shows true Conservative colours on youth: http://www.cbc.ca/canada/nsvotes2009/story/2009/05/21/novascotiavotes-curfew-tories.html
PC leader Rodney MacDonald said he can't think of any reason why a child would be out on the street at 1 a.m.
Oh, I don't know, how about, not committing crimes? The fact that similar curfews have been struck down across the country doesn't seem to matter, as this is just another example of when it comes to crime/justice issues, the Tories will always put effectiveness and legality behind raw partisan appeal.
___________________________________________________-
With the NS Tories running third, I can understand why Conservative Premier Rodney MacDonald would want to try and rally the base, but this move reeks of being an electoral "Hail Mary". For the Tories, however, this bound to be intercepted pass shows true Conservative colours on youth: http://www.cbc.ca/canada/nsvotes2009/story/2009/05/21/novascotiavotes-curfew-tories.html
PC leader Rodney MacDonald said he can't think of any reason why a child would be out on the street at 1 a.m.
Oh, I don't know, how about, not committing crimes? The fact that similar curfews have been struck down across the country doesn't seem to matter, as this is just another example of when it comes to crime/justice issues, the Tories will always put effectiveness and legality behind raw partisan appeal.
Wednesday, May 20, 2009
NS Liberal Leader McNeil wins debate
My entry for the Young Liberal Positive Politics challenge: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MevlKbbGzdM&feature=channel
______________________________________________________________
The momentum continues for the Nova Scotia Liberals, after a strong debate performance by Liberal leader Stephen McNeil.
...he was least often the target of his opponents and therefore suffered the fewest body blows.
Meanwhile, McNeil provided mostly concise, detailed responses and was particularly strong on taking Nova Scotia Power to task, on killing gas regulation and on strengthening health care.
______________________________________________________________
The momentum continues for the Nova Scotia Liberals, after a strong debate performance by Liberal leader Stephen McNeil.
...he was least often the target of his opponents and therefore suffered the fewest body blows.
Meanwhile, McNeil provided mostly concise, detailed responses and was particularly strong on taking Nova Scotia Power to task, on killing gas regulation and on strengthening health care.
The rise of McNeil and the Liberal Party was noted in a second consecutive poll showing the Liberals within striking distance of the NDP, and running ahead of the governing PC's who have been pushed down to third.
All Nova Scotians remember to get out and vote Liberal!
___________________________________________________________
Check out my other video, a spoof of the Tory attack ads: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WNZ0aIeBczI&feature=channel
Tuesday, May 19, 2009
NS Liberals set for impressive gains
My entry for the YLC Positive Politics Contest: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MevlKbbGzdM
__________________________________________________________
http://www.cbc.ca/canada/nsvotes2009/story/2009/05/19/ns-election-poll.html
The second poll in a row, and the same trend, with the NDP having a healthy lead, the governing PC's pushed back into 3rd place, and the Liberals set to jump from 3rd to becoming the officially opposition. The NDP may have failed to take back BC, but it looks increasingly likely that Atlantic Canada will have its first NDP government. The Tories falling from government to third would be a serious body blow, and lets hope the Liberals and Stephen McNeil can take advantage of this collapse.
__________________________________________________________
http://www.cbc.ca/canada/nsvotes2009/story/2009/05/19/ns-election-poll.html
The second poll in a row, and the same trend, with the NDP having a healthy lead, the governing PC's pushed back into 3rd place, and the Liberals set to jump from 3rd to becoming the officially opposition. The NDP may have failed to take back BC, but it looks increasingly likely that Atlantic Canada will have its first NDP government. The Tories falling from government to third would be a serious body blow, and lets hope the Liberals and Stephen McNeil can take advantage of this collapse.
Saturday, May 16, 2009
Another example of positive Young Liberal politics
View my entry for the Young Liberal Positive Politics competition here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MevlKbbGzdM
_____________________________________________________________________
While I can only make videos, I figure a Young Liberal (technically he just aged out, but I'll allow it) who is making a very substantive contribution to advancing Liberal values should be highlighted.
http://liberal.ns.ca/nslp_9313.html
Colin Hebb, a former executive member of the Nova Scotia Young Liberals, is running as the Liberal candidate in Dartmouth South-Portland Valley. Colin is running a strong campaign as part of the Nova Scotia Liberal team, which looks to makes some impressive gains this election, which is shaping up to be a tough three way fight. Show your support for Colin by becoming a supporter at: http://www.facebook.com/home.php#/pages/Colin-Hebb/87311561075?ref=ts
Let's help elect Colin and other Nova Scotia Liberals and show that liberalism is out in full force, working for Canadians, all across the country.
_____________________________________________________________________
While I can only make videos, I figure a Young Liberal (technically he just aged out, but I'll allow it) who is making a very substantive contribution to advancing Liberal values should be highlighted.
http://liberal.ns.ca/nslp_9313.html
Colin Hebb, a former executive member of the Nova Scotia Young Liberals, is running as the Liberal candidate in Dartmouth South-Portland Valley. Colin is running a strong campaign as part of the Nova Scotia Liberal team, which looks to makes some impressive gains this election, which is shaping up to be a tough three way fight. Show your support for Colin by becoming a supporter at: http://www.facebook.com/home.php#/pages/Colin-Hebb/87311561075?ref=ts
Let's help elect Colin and other Nova Scotia Liberals and show that liberalism is out in full force, working for Canadians, all across the country.
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